Consider this fictitious scenario: In the summer of 1950,
President Thomas E. Dewey faced a national security crisis of
extraordinary proportions—one that his advisors agreed likely would
define his presidency. After beating his Democratic opponent in 1948 by a
comfortable margin, Dewey received news that Soviet-backed armies in
Korea, Hokkaido, and Northern Honshu had mounted a massive invasion of
Southern Honshu, with the goal of unifying Japan under a single
government. He knew that American occupation forces—under strength,
dispirited, and still fighting insurgencies loyal to the emperor in
Kyushu and Shikoku, as well as other scattered parts of the former
Japanese empire—were hardly in a position to resist.
Although he based much of his election
campaign on a “Truman Lost Japan” platform, he now lamented the fact
that the war dragged on through the spring of 1947 instead of ending in
the summer of 1945. That brought in the Russians, who took over all of
Korea and carved out an occupation zone in northern Japan, transforming
it into one of their notorious “people’s republics.” The United Nations
could do nothing—the Russians had the veto—and Americans were sick of
war. What was the United States going to do? Use atomic bombs to stop
the invasion? Unthinkable! Especially not with the Russians also having
tested an atomic weapon during the previous fall.
The new American president slumped in
his chair in the oval office, disconsolate—and angry. China, Russia,
Korea, and now probably Japan—all communist dictatorships. Where else
would Joe Stalin press his advantage? In Europe again, against Germany?
Central Asia, perhaps? Iran? Pakistan? Victories whet imperialist
appetites. And America was losing the Cold War. If only that novice
Harry Truman had acted as tough as he talked…
Of course, the fact that Truman did,
spared us this nightmare version of an early Cold War alternative
history. In fact, in the months leading to the actual surrender of Japan,
which occurred on 14 August 1945 (Washington time), a variety of morbid
statistics on estimated casualties haunted the president’s thoughts. On
Okinawa alone, American casualties ran to 75,000. And a horrendous
battle it was—replete with flamethrowers torching caves filled with
suicidal Japanese soldiers and terrified Okinawan citizens, tanks
attacked by enemies with bombs attached to their heads, endless mortar
and artillery bombardments—it was the worst battle in a war that had
also included Guadalcanal, Tarawa, Iwo Jima.
Then there was the kamikaze. From April
6 to June 22, when the island was finally declared secure, the Japanese
staged 10 big attacks involving 1,465 aircraft, inflicting tremendous
damage, in terms of ships sunk, lives lost, and morale depleted. Indeed,
historian Max Hastings notes in his superb account, “Retribution,” that
“For the sacrifice of a few hundred half-trained pilots, vastly more
damage was inflicted upon the U. S. Navy than the Japanese surface fleet
had accomplish since Pearl Harbor” [italics added]. What was
the number of aircraft available to Japan to defend the home islands
against an American invasion? Answer: 10,000. Half of those were
kamikaze. That’s not to mention suicide boats, human-torpedoes,
human-bombs, and swimmers with bombs.
No doubt pondering this information
worsened the soul hollowing-out nature of casualty estimates for an
invasion of Japan, which President Truman had been receiving since
August 1944. The most recent figures from the last week of July 1945,
were provided by General George C. Marshall and entailed the loss of
anywhere from a quarter million to one million Americans. Likely, Japan
would lose all of its nearly three-quarter-million man army in the
region, along with millions of civilians. For numbers like these, the
word “intolerable” barely gnaws on the edge of one’s imagination.
Which of course brings to mind the way the war actually ended, with the dropping of two atomic bombs,
the Russian invasion of Manchuria, Emperor Hirohito’s dramatic radio
message to his people, and the signing of the surrender terms on the USS
Missouri in Tokyo Bay on September 2, 1945. In the final analysis, by
the emperor’s own words, it was the atomic bombs, and not the Russian
invasion of Manchuria, that forced the issue: “The enemy has begun to
employ a new and most cruel bomb, the power of which to do damage is
indeed incalculable, taking the toll of many innocent lives. Should we
continue to fight, it would not only result in an ultimate collapse and
obliteration of the Japanese nation, but it would also lead to the total
extinction of human civilization.”
So the greatest war in history finally
came to an end. And not just to an end, but to the best conclusion that
could be expected, considering the circumstances. And for the millions
of lives, Americans and Japanese alike, saved by Truman’s decision, no
better expression of relief can be found than in the words of notable
historian and former combat soldier, Paul Fussell: “For all the
practiced phlegm of our tough facades we broke down and cried with
relief and joy. We were going to live.”
Thanks to him, President Truman, and millions of other brave men and women, so are we.
Dr. Marvin Folkertsma is a professor of political science and fellow for American studies with The Center for Vision & Values at Grove City College. The author of several books, his latest release is a high-energy novel titled "The Thirteenth Commandment."
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